The Real Estate Deal
Editor Cindy Zetts dishes on real-estate and development around Puget Sound: She lived in apartments, townhomes and houses -- a dozen of them in four states -- before settling in the Seattle area in 1997. After taking a bath on the sale of her first home, in South Florida, she vowed to wise up about real estate. She bought a house in Covington 10 years ago because, well, she could afford one there.
November 9, 2008 1:01 PM
Manteca, Calif., shows effects of boom-bust-boom on regular Joes
Posted by Cindy Zetts
From reporter Elizabeth Rhodes at the National Association of Realtors conference in Orlando:
ORLANDO, Fla. -- With thousands of real-estate agents coming to Orlando from all corners of the country for the annual National Association of Realtors convention, there's bound to be a lot of story swapping. Especially in a tough market like this.
Cheryl McFall's story is especially illuminating. McFall is a Re/Max agent in Manteca, Calif., a town of about 70,000 near where I-5 and Highway 99 intersect between Stockton and Modesto.
For anyone who's been following California real estate -- thinking perhaps it's a harbinger of what's to come in Seattle -- Stockton has been a poster child of boom and bust. And now, even in this economy, boom again.
In September 2005, after a fierce run-up, Stockton/Modesto median house prices peaked at about $450,000. Today, those same houses are selling for $250,000 -- and they are selling, McFall says.
"A house that was $325,000 is now $150,000 to $180,000, and they're getting multiple offers,"
she said.
They're selling so fast that no one bothers to stage them.
"The public doesn't care; the houses are so far under market that there's no need," she said.
Who's buying? Moderate-income folks.
McFall says she can get a teacher, who's probably been paying $1,000 a month rent, into a house for $1,200 a month -- that's includes principal, interest, taxes and insurance. Investors also are buying, and some are even back into the old flipping game. No, it's not dead in Stockton.
So many homes have sold that inventory, 600 homes six months ago, is now half of that or less, McFall said.
The Stockton/Modesto area was particularly beset by subprime mortgages during boom times as house prices shot up out of the range of moderate-income earners. Many bought with no money down.
So it's perhaps no surprise that 85 percent of the homes available are either bank-owned foreclosed properties or short sales where the owner is in trouble and the lender is willing to sell to a buyer for less than it is owed.
That means the lender takes a bath, but McFall isn't sympathetic. During the bubble's runup, "banks made a ton of money, so I don't feel sorry for them," she said.
Rather, her sympathy lies with the Steady Eddies, those folks who paid their mortgages on time, kept up their homes and are now trying to sell. Those folks, only 15 percent or so of the market, "can't compete at all" with the foreclosures, McFall said.
Dec 1, 08 - 02:41 PM
Real-estate outlook: Is the glass half-full, half-empty or broken?
Dec 1, 08 - 01:39 PM
Lower mortgage rates means "it's a great time to buy," loan officer says
Nov 26, 08 - 07:00 PM
Real-estate facts and figures: What a week
Nov 20, 08 - 02:18 PM
Happy holidays: Fannie, Freddie postpone foreclosures until next year
Nov 20, 08 - 02:00 PM
Comptroller: Community Reinvestment Act didn't cause credit crunch

nwjobs

Post a comment

Michelle Goodman blogs about work/life balance.
How to tell your office you're gravely ill
Post a comment
nwautos

Choosing a new sedan? Weigh the impact of your choice on your wallet and on the planet.
Post a comment

- Flags were key link to cop slaying, bombings
- Suspect shot as city mourns slain officer
- Briefs | Soccer: New Mexico suspends hair-pulling player Elizabeth Lambert
- McGinn pulling away as late ballots come in
- Using anti-shooter tactics, civilian Army police officer brought down gunman
- Huskies suffer another heartbreaking loss to UCLA
- Consortium on verge of owning Eastside railway land
- Suspect in officer's slaying shot by police
- Heavy snow in Cascades shuts down roads
- Stormy weather to continue today in the Seattle area
- UCLA game thread
937 - Suspect shot as city mourns slain officer
389 - Weapons, bomb-making materials found in suspect's apartment
331 - Troubling portrait emerges of Fort Hood suspect
285 - Decision day for health care in the House
193 - McGinn widens lead over Mallahan in Seattle mayoral race
183 - Schools emerge as new tactic in gay marriage votes
99 - Huskies suffer another heartbreaking loss to UCLA
90 - Referendum 71 show's Washington's strategy for marriage equality is working
72 - Using anti-shooter tactics, civilian Army police officer brought down gunman
71
- Suspect shot as city mourns slain officer
- Flags were key link to cop slaying, bombings
- McGinn pulling away as late ballots come in
- Consortium on verge of owning Eastside railway land
- Guest columnist | Cut the South Carolina jokes, Seattle. Get ready to compete
- Practical Mac | With new features, Apple's MobileMe is worth the price
- H1N1 vaccine for high-risk group coming to King Co. pharmacies
- Shoreline man killed when struck by falling tree part
- Suspect in officer's slaying shot by police
- Movie review | 'An Education' you won't forget

February
| Sun | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
| 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
| 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 |






