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Times reporter Bob Condotta keeps the news coming about the Montlake Dawgs.

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August 10, 2008 6:00 PM

A couple more predictions

Posted by Bob Condotta

The Huskies had the day off --- and as a reminder, they will be off the next two Sundays, as well --- allowing me to catch up on a little reading.

One item on the book shelf was the 2008 Pro Football Prospectus, but together by the guys at FootballOutsiders.com.

Though about 98 percent of the book is devoted to a mathematical analysis of the NFL, there are also a few college football articles, including one in which an author uses several mathematical formulas to predict the season.

It's a complicated formula that essentially takes into account returning starters, QB experience, head coach experience, conference strength, and schedule. The author says the formula has proven to have a 64 percent accuracy rate. UW had better hope to be in that other 36 percent this year as the author predicts that UW will go 3-6 in Pac-10 play and 3-9 overall, the fewest wins of any Pac-10 team.

Their projected standings are as follows:

1, USC, 8-1, 10-2
2, Oregon, 6-3, 9-3
3, Cal 6-3, 8-4
4, ASU 5-4, 7-4
5, Oregon State 4-5, 6-6
UCLA 4-5, 5-7
Arizona 4-5, 6-6
8, UW 3-6, 3-9
WSU 3-6 5-7
10, Stanford 2-7, 4-8

Like every other prediction out there, these could easily turn out to be wrong, given injuries, momentum, and a host of other factors that will inevitably influence the season.

One of the most interesting things to me about it was that a mathematical formula basically came up with the same projections as most of the other pre-season magazines, as well as the Pac-10 media poll.

Also out this week is Sports Illustrated's annual season preview. It's all available on-line, as well, including the ranking of every team in the nation, which is again dire for UW. SI has the Huskies at No. 70 overall ahead of only Stanford and WsU.

SI picks the Huskies to go 3-6 in Pac-10 play and 4-8 overall, beating Notre Dame in non-conference play (as the mag calls for BYU and Oklahoma to each lose only one game, each in conference play).

SI's Pac-10 preview doesn't say much about the Huskies other than listing Jake Locker as one of five Players to Watch.

UW NOT ALONE ON QB INJURY WATCH --- As some of you have pointed out, UW is hardly alone in worrying about the health of its QB. UCLA learned today that Ben Olson will be out roughly eight weeks after breaking his foot in a non-contact drill Saturday.

ESPN's Ted Miller reviews the Pac-10 QB news of the weekend here.

All for now.

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August 10, 2008 8:49 AM

New AD coming soon?

Posted by Bob Condotta

The second item in our UW story for today's paper was a note on Scott Woodward saying he thinks a permanent athletic director could be named by the end of the month --- or before the start of the football season.

And Woodward, who has been the acting AD since Jan. 31, didn't rule out that it could still be him, saying that while he's not a candidate at the moment, that doesn't mean he's saying that if a new AD is hired soon that it won't be him.

He cautioned that when he said he "guesses'' a new AD will be named soon that he wasn't speaking for president Mark Emmert or the search committee. But it was as definitive as anyone up there has been in a while about when a new AD could be named.

When asked if there is a sense of urgency to get a hire done before the football season, Woodward said "I think there is. Personally, it's time for me to do one job full-time.''

Woodward is also the school's vice president for external relations and said that with the start of a new school year on the horizon, he needs to concentrate his efforts in one place.

He also said that having an AD in place by the start of the football season is also important, given the obvious questions hanging over that program.

"I think that's a big factor,'' he said.

In the story, he also defended the length of the search, saying the fact that the UW is a public school that must adhere to certain hiring guidelines makes such hires more complicated.

"I just think the president is being very methodical and very cautious in how he goes about this process,'' he said.

Interestingly, a couple of sources in the AD community have told the Times recently that the conventional wisdom out there is that UW is doing very little in terms of talking to people on the outside about the job.

The job remains listed on the web site of Parker Executive Search, the firm to which UW paid $75,000 to help in the process.

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