Brier Dudley's Blog
Brier Dudley offers a critical look at technology and business issues affecting the Northwest.
E-mail Brier|
206.515.5687
|
Follow Brier on Twitter|
Microsoft Pri0 blog|
Subscribe | Blog Home
November 13, 2007 7:54 PM
Google stock at $901 and other predictions
Posted by Brier Dudley
Some highlights from the WSA's 2008 predictions dinner, with outlook provided by a panel including venture capitalists Enrique Godreau III, Matt McIlwain and Kelly Smith; analyst Steve Lidberg, and Jonathan Sposato, a serial entrepreneur and veteran of Microsoft and Google.
What sort of company would they start if they had $1 million?
Godreau: Develop self-charging batteries that recharge using mechanical motion, similar to the way pedometers work and tidal energy is being harvested.
Lidberg: A Chinese-to-English translation company, or a company involved in digital mapping.
McIlwain: A "personal shopper" that aggregates and communicates things he intends to buy.
Smith: An operating system for email that lets users drag and drop applications such as widgets and autopublish applications into an email platform.
Sposato: "Zeromeout.com," a consumer focused site to help people evaluate their carbon footprint and purchase offsets, and "howtobeagentleman.com," a site providing advice for young men how to be polite and conduct business.
Where would they not invest now?
Godreau: Said he's concerned about less attention being paid to sales and revenues and more to "eyeballs and eardrums."
McIlwain: " I think cleantech is completely overhyped."
Smith: Said there are plenty of options now for people to consume high-def video, and he wouldn't invest in a maker of Facebook applications any more.
Sposato: "Any company that's creating a social networking application on Facebook." Also overhyped are tools for pulling together messaging and social networking accounts.
Lidberg: Mobile gaming. While casual gaming is seeing interesting new models, the "mobile arena seems way overhyped and overcrowded."
Where will Google's stock be at the end of 2008?
Lidberg: "We have an 850 target price on it right now."
Godreau: $874 - said they'll hit four figures after a blowout quarter, but will have a quarterly miss due to the macroeconomic environment. "As you start to see a crack in the armor you end up at $874."
Sposado: "Low sevens by the end of 2008."
Smith: "I'm going to say $901 and the reason is because I think it's extremely rare in a person's lifetime when you see a company with the characteristics of Google."
McIlwain: Said Microsoft and the aQuantive team shouldn't be "so heavily discounted" so he expects Google to be at $725.
The next big Microsoft acquisition?
McIlwain: Virtualization - perhaps Citrix - and on the wireless side perhaps RIM. Also vertical search companies.
Smith: Eyeball acquisitions, perhaps a photo sharing or video sharing site or a social networking platform like Beebo.
Goudreau: Virtualization infrastructure.
Comments |
Category:
Entrepreneurs
|Permalink |
Digg |
Newsvine

general classifieds
Garage & estate salesFurniture & home furnishings
Electronics
just listed
More listings
POST A FREE LISTING

- Fasting woman to end attempt to ‘live on light’
- Ride-share cars: illegal, and all over Seattle
- Everett may be left out of 787-10 plans
- Report: NHL’s Phoenix Coyotes could move to Seattle if local deal fails
- ‘I don’t want to be only person cured of HIV’
- Mastros defend their actions, plan to ‘retire in peace’
- Teen cyclist hit, killed in charity ride
- Supreme Court: Pre-Miranda silence can be used as evidence of guilt
- Too early to claim Xbox defeat just from E3 buzz
- 2 charged with stealing 4.3 miles of copper wire from Sound Transit
- Game thread: Aaron Harang tries for better results in Anaheim
346 - Ride-share cars: illegal, and all over Seattle
162 - Everett may be left out of 787-10 plans
133 - Justin Smoak appears headed up to rejoin reeling Mariners
94 - Court: Ariz. citizenship proof law illegal
84 - Taxi drivers stage a protest parade
75 - Mastros staying in France
67 - Woman trying to ‘live on light’ instead of food ends experiment
62 - Mariners destroyed in Anaheim again
44 - Third start in four days for Mariners catcher Mike Zunino
43
- Ride-share cars: illegal, and all over Seattle
- One tough old bird rules the parking lot
- Got a great buy on a cruise? That’s not all you’ll spend
- It’s curtains for Seattle’s Egyptian Theatre
- Weyerhaeuser pays $2.6B to snag Longview Timber
- Everett may be left out of 787-10 plans
- Fasting woman to end attempt to ‘live on light’
- Fifth-grader’s poem wins national contest
- Report: NHL’s Phoenix Coyotes could move to Seattle if local deal fails
- Mastros defend their actions, plan to ‘retire in peace’

May
| Sun | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat |
| 1 | 2 | |||||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
| 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
| 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
| 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 |
| 31 |

Video
Demo of the Week: TeachStreet.com
Share your thoughts!
Gadgets and games | Fun stuff I've written about lately includes Apple's iPhone, Hewlett-Packard's HDX laptop and Microsoft's Halo3. Also on the radar are new digital video boxes such as the Tivo HD and the Vudu.

