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Welcome to Backyard Blog, our group online journal for this election season. We've asked a broad array of people with deep ties to the region to share their views on politics during the 2004 campaign.
Send your comments to bbcomments@seattletimes.com. |
August 30, 2004
| The polls tighten |
| Posted by Matthew Ranger at August 30, 2004 01:20 PM |
In the days leading up to the Republican National Convention, all the talk seems to be about the swift boat veterans. I've looked over two of their ads. The first accuses Kerry of lying about his war record and making a hero out of himself when the reality of the situation was quite different. The second ad runs excerpts of his testimony before the Senate and accuses him of breaking faith with his fellow veterans through false accusations of war crimes.
While the truth of these statements can be disputed, the impact that they have had on this race cannot. Bush has now pulled ahead in many national polls, but of more interest to me is that he has now pulled ahead in Ohio. His is also closing the gap in Wisconsin. Since the ads have started running in Ohio, the polls show a swing of seven to eight points in Bush's favor. The latest LA Times poll has him up five points, above the four percent margin of error. Wisconsin is showing a similar shift, though the polls there are less clear.
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